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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hibernians v Floriana: numbers & prediction

0–4
FT
Hibernians 32%Draw 21%Floriana 47% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.58
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Floriana to win @ 3.90 – our chance 47% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFloriana to win ✓47% · @3.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Hibernians vs Floriana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hibernians welcome Floriana for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Hibernians are 4th on 19 points after 12 matches; Floriana are 6th with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hibernians, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Birkirkara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Floriana, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Marsaxlokk, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Floriana, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Hibernians.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Floriana 4–1 Hibernians.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hibernians 1.2 xG, Floriana 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hibernians 32%, draw 21%, Floriana 47%.
  • Price worth noting: Floriana to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hibernians 1–2 Floriana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hibernians32%fair 3.17 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.75
Floriana47%fair 2.12 · @3.90
2.82Expected goals
1.23Hibernians xG
1.58Floriana xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Hibernians 1.2 – 1.6 Floriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFloriana to win ✓47%2.123.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.27–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.99–
Draw no betFloriana (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapHibernians +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
First team to scoreFloriana to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Floriana / FT Floriana ✓27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

Hibernians – last 6

DLDLWL
12 Sep@ Birkirkara1–1D
2 Sepvs Valletta FC0–2L
28 Augvs Zabbar St. Patrick1–1D
21 Aug@ Marsaxlokk0–1L
16 Aug@ Sliema Wanderers2–0W
30 Apr@ Zabbar St. Patrick0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Floriana – last 6

LLWDWW
12 Sepvs Marsaxlokk2–5L
7 Sepvs Valletta FC0–2L
2 Sepvs Gzira United4–1W
29 Aug@ Hamrun Spartans1–1D
21 Augvs Sliema Wanderers2–0W
14 Aug@ Birzebbuga3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Floriana v Hibernians4–1
Hibernians vs Floriana head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernians vs Floriana?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Hibernians vs Floriana?

On our numbers Hibernians have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Floriana 47%.

How many goals will there be in Hibernians vs Floriana?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hibernians vs Floriana?

Our predicted score is Hibernians 1–2 Floriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hibernians vs Floriana?

Hibernians vs Floriana (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.