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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gzira United v Mosta: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Tony Bezzina Stadium
1–1
FT

Mosta

DLDWW
Gzira United 39%Draw 23%Mosta 39% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.38
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultGzira United to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03

Gzira United vs Mosta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 14 October the Premier League brings Gzira United against Mosta at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Gzira United are 12th on 5 points after 12 matches; Mosta are 9th with 15.

Current form

Gzira United, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sliema Wanderers, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Mosta, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Birzebbuga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mosta, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Gzira United.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Gzira United 2–1 Mosta. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gzira United 2 wins, Mosta 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gzira United 1.4 xG, Mosta 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gzira United 39%, draw 23%, Mosta 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gzira United 1–1 Mosta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gzira United39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Mosta39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.37Gzira United xG
1.38Mosta xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%

From our goals model: Gzira United 1.4 – 1.4 Mosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGzira United to win ✗39%2.592.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.651.70
Draw no betGzira United (draw no bet)50%2.00–
Asian handicapGzira United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreMosta to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mosta / FT Mosta ✗22%4.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.03–

Recent results

Gzira United – last 6

DDLLLL
11 Oct@ Sliema Wanderers1–1D
14 Sepvs Zabbar St. Patrick0–0D
2 Sep@ Floriana1–4L
29 Aug@ Balzan FC1–2L
23 Augvs Valletta FC0–3L
17 Aug@ Birkirkara0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mosta – last 6

DLDWWW
9 Octvs Birzebbuga2–2D
13 Sepvs Sliema Wanderers1–3L
5 Sep@ Marsaxlokk1–1D
30 Augvs Birkirkara1–0W
23 Augvs Balzan FC2–1W
17 Aug@ Hamrun Spartans2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Gzira United v Mosta2–1
22 Feb 2026Gzira United v Mosta1–0
Gzira United vs Mosta head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gzira United vs Mosta?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Gzira United vs Mosta?

On our numbers Gzira United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mosta 39%.

How many goals will there be in Gzira United vs Mosta?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gzira United vs Mosta?

Our predicted score is Gzira United 1–1 Mosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gzira United vs Mosta?

Gzira United vs Mosta (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.