Marsaxlokk 58%Draw 21%Zabbar St. Patrick 20%Expected goals 1.82 – 0.96
80%
Betarazi pick
Marsaxlokk or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarsaxlokk to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceMarsaxlokk or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.05
Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Marsaxlokk v Zabbar St. Patrick in the Premier League. In the table, Marsaxlokk are 2nd on 21 points after 12 matches; Zabbar St. Patrick are 8th with 15.
Current form
Marsaxlokk, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hamrun Spartans, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Zabbar St. Patrick, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Birkirkara, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Marsaxlokk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Zabbar St. Patrick.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marsaxlokk 1.8 xG, Zabbar St. Patrick 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marsaxlokk 58%, draw 21%, Zabbar St. Patrick 20%.
Lower-risk option: Marsaxlokk or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marsaxlokk or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marsaxlokk 1–0 Zabbar St. Patrick. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marsaxlokk58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Zabbar St. Patrick20%fair 4.93 · @3.70
2.78Expected goals
1.82Marsaxlokk xG
0.96Zabbar St. Patrick xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Marsaxlokk 1.8 – 1.0 Zabbar St. Patrick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marsaxlokk to win✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Marsaxlokk or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Marsaxlokk (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Zabbar St. Patrick +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Marsaxlokk to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Marsaxlokk ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marsaxlokk / FT Marsaxlokk✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.05
–
Recent results
Marsaxlokk – last 6
LWDWWD
18 Sep
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Floriana
5–2
W
5 Sep
vs Mosta
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Valletta FC
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs Hibernians
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Balzan FC
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zabbar St. Patrick – last 6
LDLDWL
18 Sep
vs Birkirkara
0–2
L
14 Sep
@ Gzira United
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Hamrun Spartans
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ Hibernians
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Birzebbuga
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Valletta FC
2–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marsaxlokk and Zabbar St. Patrick.
What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Our pick is Marsaxlokk or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
On our numbers Marsaxlokk have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zabbar St. Patrick 20%.
How many goals will there be in Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Our predicted score is Marsaxlokk 1–0 Zabbar St. Patrick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
