Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFloriana to win ✗62% · @1.50
Double chanceFloriana or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Floriana vs Mosta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Floriana welcome Mosta to Tony Bezzina Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 18 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Floriana are 6th on 16 points after 12 matches; Mosta are 9th with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Floriana, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Balzan FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Mosta, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gzira United, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Floriana 2.1 xG, Mosta 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Floriana 62%, draw 20%, Mosta 18%.
Lower-risk option: Floriana or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Floriana to win (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Floriana 2–1 Mosta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Floriana62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.00
Mosta18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
3.07Expected goals
2.06Floriana xG
1.01Mosta xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Floriana 2.1 – 1.0 Mosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floriana to win✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Double chance
Floriana or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Draw no bet
Floriana (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Floriana -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Floriana to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Floriana ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floriana / FT Floriana✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Floriana – last 6
DWLLWD
11 Oct
vs Balzan FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Hibernians
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Marsaxlokk
2–5
L
7 Sep
vs Valletta FC
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Gzira United
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mosta – last 6
DDLDWW
14 Oct
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Birzebbuga
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Sliema Wanderers
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Balzan FC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floriana and Mosta.
Our pick is Floriana to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Floriana vs Mosta?
On our numbers Floriana have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mosta 18%.
How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Mosta?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floriana vs Mosta?
Our predicted score is Floriana 2–1 Mosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Floriana vs Mosta?
Floriana vs Mosta (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
