Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: Marsaxlokk to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMarsaxlokk to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Sliema Wanderers v Marsaxlokk in the Premier League, played at Tony Bezzina Stadium. In the table, Sliema Wanderers are 3rd on 21 points after 12 matches; Marsaxlokk are 2nd with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sliema Wanderers, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Zabbar St. Patrick, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Marsaxlokk, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Birzebbuga, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sliema Wanderers 1.4 xG, Marsaxlokk 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sliema Wanderers 38%, draw 24%, Marsaxlokk 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Marsaxlokk to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sliema Wanderers 1–1 Marsaxlokk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sliema Wanderers38%fair 2.66 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Marsaxlokk38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
2.83Expected goals
1.41Sliema Wanderers xG
1.42Marsaxlokk xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sliema Wanderers 1.4 – 1.4 Marsaxlokk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marsaxlokk to win✗
38%
2.63
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
Marsaxlokk (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Sliema Wanderers +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Marsaxlokk to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marsaxlokk / FT Marsaxlokk✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.93
–
Recent results
Sliema Wanderers – last 6
WLDDWW
21 Oct
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
3–2
W
17 Oct
@ Valletta FC
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Gzira United
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Balzan FC
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Mosta
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Birkirkara
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Marsaxlokk – last 6
LWWLWD
21 Oct
@ Birzebbuga
0–2
L
16 Oct
vs Birkirkara
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Floriana
5–2
W
5 Sep
vs Mosta
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sliema Wanderers and Marsaxlokk.
What is the prediction for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk?
On our numbers Sliema Wanderers have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marsaxlokk 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk?
Our predicted score is Sliema Wanderers 1–1 Marsaxlokk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk?
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
