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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valletta FC v Hamrun Spartans: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Tony Bezzina Stadium
1–2
FT
Valletta FC 40%Draw 24%Hamrun Spartans 35% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.42
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultValletta FC to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50

Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Valletta FC v Hamrun Spartans in the Premier League, played at Tony Bezzina Stadium. In the table, Valletta FC are 1st on 25 points after 12 matches; Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18.

Current form

Valletta FC, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mosta, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Hamrun Spartans, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Balzan FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Valletta FC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Hamrun Spartans.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Valletta FC 1–1 Hamrun Spartans.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valletta FC 1.5 xG, Hamrun Spartans 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valletta FC 40%, draw 24%, Hamrun Spartans 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valletta FC 1–1 Hamrun Spartans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valletta FC40%fair 2.49 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @2.88
Hamrun Spartans35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
2.94Expected goals
1.52Valletta FC xG
1.42Hamrun Spartans xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Valletta FC 1.5 – 1.4 Hamrun Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValletta FC to win ✗40%2.492.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.80
Draw no betValletta FC (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapHamrun Spartans +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreValletta FC to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valletta FC / FT Valletta FC ✗24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.50–

Recent results

Valletta FC – last 6

WWWWDW
21 Oct@ Mosta2–0W
17 Octvs Sliema Wanderers2–1W
10 Oct@ Birkirkara2–0W
19 Sep@ Birzebbuga3–0W
13 Sepvs Balzan FC2–2D
7 Sep@ Floriana2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hamrun Spartans – last 6

DDDWWW
21 Octvs Balzan FC1–1D
18 Oct@ Gzira United2–2D
11 Octvs Hibernians2–2D
18 Sepvs Marsaxlokk4–1W
11 Sep@ Birzebbuga2–0W
6 Sep@ Zabbar St. Patrick2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026Valletta FC v Hamrun Spartans1–1
Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

On our numbers Valletta FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hamrun Spartans 35%.

How many goals will there be in Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Our predicted score is Valletta FC 1–1 Hamrun Spartans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.