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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gzira United v Marsaxlokk: numbers & prediction

0–5
FT
Gzira United 22%Draw 15%Marsaxlokk 62% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.93
62%
Betarazi pick

Marsaxlokk to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarsaxlokk to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 15.50

Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Gzira United v Marsaxlokk in the Premier League. In the table, Gzira United are 12th on 5 points after 12 matches; Marsaxlokk are 2nd with 21. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gzira United, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Birzebbuga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Marsaxlokk, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sliema Wanderers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Marsaxlokk, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Gzira United.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Marsaxlokk 2–1 Gzira United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gzira United 1.0 xG, Marsaxlokk 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 48% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gzira United 22%, draw 15%, Marsaxlokk 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Marsaxlokk to win (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gzira United 0–1 Marsaxlokk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gzira United22%fair 4.53 · @3.60
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @3.60
Marsaxlokk62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
2.92Expected goals
0.99Gzira United xG
1.93Marsaxlokk xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%

From our goals model: Gzira United 1.0 – 1.9 Marsaxlokk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarsaxlokk to win ✓62%1.601.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betMarsaxlokk (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapGzira United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreMarsaxlokk to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultMarsaxlokk ahead at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marsaxlokk / FT Marsaxlokk ✓37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6%15.50–

Recent results

Gzira United – last 6

DLDDDD
25 Octvs Birzebbuga2–2D
22 Oct@ Hibernians1–2L
18 Octvs Hamrun Spartans2–2D
14 Octvs Mosta1–1D
11 Oct@ Sliema Wanderers1–1D
14 Sepvs Zabbar St. Patrick0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Marsaxlokk – last 6

LLWWLW
24 Oct@ Sliema Wanderers1–2L
21 Oct@ Birzebbuga0–2L
16 Octvs Birkirkara2–0W
10 Octvs Zabbar St. Patrick2–1W
18 Sep@ Hamrun Spartans1–4L
12 Sep@ Floriana5–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Marsaxlokk v Gzira United2–1
Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

Our pick is Marsaxlokk to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

On our numbers Gzira United have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Marsaxlokk 62%.

How many goals will there be in Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

Our predicted score is Gzira United 0–1 Marsaxlokk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk?

Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.