Roma W 56%Draw 27%Fiorentina W 17%Expected goals 1.67 – 0.83
83%
Betarazi pick
Roma W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Roma W to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRoma W to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceRoma W or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53
Roma W vs Fiorentina W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Serie A Cup Women brings Roma W against Fiorentina W at Stadio Tre Fontane. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT.
Current form
Roma W, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sassuolo W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Fiorentina W, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ternana W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Roma W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Fiorentina W.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Roma W 1–1 Fiorentina W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roma W 1.7 xG, Fiorentina W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roma W 56%, draw 27%, Fiorentina W 17%.
Lower-risk option: Roma W or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Roma W to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Roma W or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roma W 1–0 Fiorentina W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roma W56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Fiorentina W17%fair 5.72 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.67Roma W xG
0.83Fiorentina W xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Roma W 1.7 – 0.8 Fiorentina W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Our pick is Roma W or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
On our numbers Roma W have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fiorentina W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Our predicted score is Roma W 1–0 Fiorentina W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Roma W vs Fiorentina W (Serie A Cup Women) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Fontane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie A Cup Women · Italy · Stadio Tre Fontane
