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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Managua v Rancho Santana: numbers & prediction

Copa Nicaragua · Nicaragua · Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago

Managua

WLWDW
2–0
FT

Rancho Santana

LWDLL
Managua 71%Draw 18%Rancho Santana 11% Expected goals 3.20 – 1.10
71%
Betarazi pick

Managua to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultManagua to win ✓71% · @1.44
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27

Managua vs Rancho Santana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Managua v Rancho Santana in the Copa Nicaragua, played at Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago.

Current form

Managua, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Rancho Santana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Rancho Santana, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Managua, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Managua, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Rancho Santana.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jul 2026) it ended Rancho Santana 2–3 Managua. The last 2 head-to-heads: Managua 2 wins, Rancho Santana 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Managua 3.2 xG, Rancho Santana 1.1 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Managua 71%, draw 18%, Rancho Santana 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Managua to win (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.40, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Managua 3–1 Rancho Santana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Managua71%fair 1.40 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.00
Rancho Santana11%fair 9.38 · @5.50
4.30Expected goals
3.20Managua xG
1.10Rancho Santana xG
60%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–17%
4–06%

From our goals model: Managua 3.2 – 1.1 Rancho Santana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManagua to win ✓71%1.401.44
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓89%1.121.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.73
Draw no betManagua (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapManagua -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
First team to scoreManagua to score first ✓73%1.36–
Half-time resultManagua ahead at half-time ✓60%1.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Managua / FT Managua ✓56%1.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.27–

Recent results

Managua – last 6

WLWDWD
6 Jul@ Rancho Santana3–2W
30 Aprvs Matagalpa2–4L
26 Aprvs Diriangén4–1W
19 Aprvs UNAN Managua1–1D
16 Apr@ Matagalpa2–1W
13 Aprvs Walter Ferretti1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rancho Santana – last 6

LWDLLL
6 Julvs Managua2–3L
15 Apr@ UNAN Managua2–0W
10 Apr@ Walter Ferretti0–0D
9 Marvs Real Estelí0–4L
6 Mar@ Managua0–1L
26 Feb@ Diriangén1–5L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jul 2026Rancho Santana v Managua2–3
6 Mar 2026Managua v Rancho Santana1–0
Managua vs Rancho Santana head-to-head page →

More Copa Nicaragua predictions

FT H&H Export1 Diriangén1 124%3.80X23%3.75253%1.73 1.2–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 57%@1.70 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Managua vs Rancho Santana?

Our pick is Managua to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Managua vs Rancho Santana?

On our numbers Managua have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rancho Santana 11%.

How many goals will there be in Managua vs Rancho Santana?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Managua vs Rancho Santana?

Our predicted score is Managua 3–1 Rancho Santana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Managua vs Rancho Santana?

Managua vs Rancho Santana (Copa Nicaragua) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.