Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓6% · fair 15.57
Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Auckland United travel to face Nelson Suburbs on Sunday 26 July in the Chatham Cup – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nelson Suburbs 2.3 xG, Auckland United 2.2 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nelson Suburbs 42%, draw 20%, Auckland United 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nelson Suburbs 2–2 Auckland United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nelson Suburbs42%fair 2.41 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.75
Auckland United39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
4.50Expected goals
2.29Nelson Suburbs xG
2.21Auckland United xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–16%
1–26%
1–16%
3–25%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nelson Suburbs 2.3 – 2.2 Auckland United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nelson Suburbs to win✓
42%
2.41
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
–
Draw no bet
Nelson Suburbs (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Auckland United +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Nelson Suburbs to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Nelson Suburbs ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nelson Suburbs / FT Nelson Suburbs✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
6%
15.57
–
Recent results
Nelson Suburbs
No recent results on record.
Auckland United
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nelson Suburbs and Auckland United.
What is the prediction for Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
On our numbers Nelson Suburbs have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Auckland United 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
Our predicted score is Nelson Suburbs 2–2 Auckland United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United?
Nelson Suburbs vs Auckland United (Chatham Cup) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chatham Cup · New-Zealand
Cashmere Technical2
Miramar1