Australia 18%Draw 18%Brazil 64%Expected goals 1.16 – 2.34
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBrazil to win ✗64% · @1.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Australia vs Brazil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 25 September the Friendlies brings Australia against Brazil at Queensland Country Bank Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Australia, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Egypt, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Brazil, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Norway, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Brazil, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Australia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Australia 1.2 xG, Brazil 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Australia 18%, draw 18%, Brazil 64%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Australia 1–2 Brazil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Australia18%fair 5.51 · @7.50
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @4.60
Brazil64%fair 1.56 · @1.35
3.50Expected goals
1.16Australia xG
2.34Brazil xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Australia 1.2 – 2.3 Brazil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✗
64%
1.56
1.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Brazil (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Brazil -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Brazil to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Australia – last 6
DDLWDL
3 Jul
vs Egypt
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Paraguay
0–0
D
19 Jun
@ USA
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Türkiye
2–0
W
6 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–1
D
31 May
@ Mexico
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Brazil – last 6
LWWWDW
5 Jul
vs Norway
1–2
L
29 Jun
vs Japan
2–1
W
24 Jun
@ Scotland
3–0
W
20 Jun
vs Haiti
3–0
W
13 Jun
vs Morocco
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Egypt
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Australia and Brazil.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Australia vs Brazil?
On our numbers Australia have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brazil 64%.
How many goals will there be in Australia vs Brazil?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Australia vs Brazil?
Our predicted score is Australia 1–2 Brazil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Australia vs Brazil?
Australia vs Brazil (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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