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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UMECIT v Union Cocle: numbers & prediction

UMECIT

WWDLL
1–0
FT
UMECIT 46%Draw 26%Union Cocle 28% Expected goals 1.38 – 0.99
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.00Odds
1

Value bet: UMECIT to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUMECIT to win ✓46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35

UMECIT vs Union Cocle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Tuesday 22 September: UMECIT v Union Cocle in the Liga Panameña De Fútbol. In the table, UMECIT are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Union Cocle are 12th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

UMECIT, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Herrera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Union Cocle, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to CD Arabe Unido, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours UMECIT, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Union Cocle.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended UMECIT 1–1 Union Cocle.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UMECIT 1.4 xG, Union Cocle 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UMECIT 46%, draw 26%, Union Cocle 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: UMECIT to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UMECIT 1–1 Union Cocle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UMECIT46%fair 2.15 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.70
Union Cocle28%fair 3.61 · @3.10
2.37Expected goals
1.38UMECIT xG
0.99Union Cocle xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: UMECIT 1.4 – 1.0 Union Cocle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUMECIT to win ✓46%2.152.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.882.00 ▲
Draw no betUMECIT (draw no bet) ✓63%1.60–
Asian handicapUnion Cocle +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreUMECIT to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT UMECIT / FT UMECIT ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

UMECIT – last 6

WWDLLL
13 Sep@ Herrera3–1W
8 Sepvs Independiente de La Chorrera2–0W
1 Sepvs Veraguas1–1D
24 Aug@ Plaza Amador0–3L
20 Aug@ Mixco1–4L
16 Augvs Sporting San Miguelito0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Union Cocle – last 6

LLDLDL
12 Sep@ CD Arabe Unido1–4L
6 Sepvs Tauro FC0–2L
30 Augvs Alianza FC2–2D
23 Aug@ Independiente de La Chorrera0–3L
16 Aug@ Deportivo Universitario1–1D
9 Augvs Veraguas0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026UMECIT v Union Cocle1–1
UMECIT vs Union Cocle head-to-head page →

Liga Panameña De Fútbol table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Plaza Amador16943+1231
2Alianza FC16691+627
3UMECIT16673+825
4Veraguas16745+325
5Union Cocle16583+523
6Tauro FC16565+321
7CD Arabe Unido16637-421
8Independiente de La Chorrera16484+420
9San Francisco FC16556-320
10Sporting San Miguelito16466-218
11Deportivo Universitario16358-814
12Herrera161510-248

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UMECIT vs Union Cocle?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win UMECIT vs Union Cocle?

On our numbers UMECIT have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Cocle 28%.

How many goals will there be in UMECIT vs Union Cocle?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UMECIT vs Union Cocle?

Our predicted score is UMECIT 1–1 Union Cocle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is UMECIT vs Union Cocle?

UMECIT vs Union Cocle (Liga Panameña De Fútbol) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.