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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kaluga v Rodina Moskva II: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Orbita stadium

Kaluga

LLDWL
0–0
FT

Rodina Moskva II

WDWWL
Kaluga 32%Draw 27%Rodina Moskva II 41% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.25
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗41% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.23

Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Kaluga v Rodina Moskva II in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Orbita stadium. In the table, Kaluga are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 17 matches; Rodina Moskva II are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kaluga, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Kirov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Rodina Moskva II, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Novosibirsk, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rodina Moskva II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Kaluga.

Head to head

When they last met (27 May 2026) it ended Rodina Moskva II 1–2 Kaluga. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kaluga 1 win, Rodina Moskva II 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 1.1 xG, Rodina Moskva II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 32%, draw 27%, Rodina Moskva II 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.78.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 1–1 Rodina Moskva II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaluga32%fair 3.13 · @2.99
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.02
Rodina Moskva II41%fair 2.41 · @2.24
2.36Expected goals
1.11Kaluga xG
1.25Rodina Moskva II xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Kaluga 1.1 – 1.2 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRodina Moskva II to win ✗41%2.412.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.78
Draw no betRodina Moskva II (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapKaluga +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.461.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreRodina Moskva II to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.23–

Recent results

Kaluga – last 6

LLDWLD
2 Aug@ Dinamo Kirov0–1L
26 Julvs Novosibirsk0–1L
19 Jul@ FK Sokol Saratov1–1D
13 Junvs Mashuk-KMV3–0W
7 Jun@ Novosibirsk0–1L
31 Mayvs Irtysh Omsk0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Rodina Moskva II – last 6

WDWWLL
2 Aug@ Novosibirsk3–1W
25 Julvs Dinamo Vladivostok0–0D
19 Julvs Alaniya Vladikavkaz2–1W
13 Jun@ Torpedo Miass3–0W
7 Junvs Tekstilshchik0–2L
31 May@ Volgar Astrakhan0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 May 2026Rodina Moskva II v Kaluga1–2
8 Apr 2026Kaluga v Rodina Moskva II1–1
Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions

League hub
FT Dinamo Bryansk1 Novosibirsk0 131%2.98X26%3.10242%2.20 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✗
FT FK Sokol Saratov2 Alaniya Vladikavkaz1 134%2.55X28%2.81238%2.74 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓
FT Volgar Astrakhan1 Dinamo Vladivostok0 147%1.91X28%3.20226%3.62 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

On our numbers Kaluga have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rodina Moskva II 41%.

How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

Our predicted score is Kaluga 1–1 Rodina Moskva II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?

Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.