Value bet: Novosibirsk to win @ 1.84 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✗60% · @1.84
Double chanceNovosibirsk or draw ✗83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dinamo Kirov travel to face Novosibirsk on Sunday 30 August in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, with Stadion Spartak the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Novosibirsk are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Dinamo Kirov are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Novosibirsk, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FK Sokol Saratov, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Dinamo Kirov, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Amkar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novosibirsk 1.6 xG, Dinamo Kirov 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novosibirsk 60%, draw 23%, Dinamo Kirov 17%.
Lower-risk option: Novosibirsk or draw (83%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Novosibirsk to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novosibirsk 1–0 Dinamo Kirov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novosibirsk60%fair 1.67 · @1.84
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.36
Dinamo Kirov17%fair 5.87 · @3.68
2.31Expected goals
1.61Novosibirsk xG
0.70Dinamo Kirov xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.6 – 0.7 Dinamo Kirov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novosibirsk to win✗
60%
1.67
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Novosibirsk or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.90
1.75
Draw no bet
Novosibirsk (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Dinamo Kirov +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Novosibirsk to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Novosibirsk – last 6
DDDLLW
22 Aug
@ FK Sokol Saratov
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Volgar Astrakhan
2–2
D
12 Aug
@ KDV
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Dinamo Bryansk
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva II
1–3
L
26 Jul
@ Kaluga
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dinamo Kirov – last 6
DLLWDW
25 Aug
vs Amkar
4–4
D
22 Aug
vs Dinamo Vladivostok
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0–2
L
12 Aug
@ Broke Boys
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Kaluga
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novosibirsk and Dinamo Kirov.
What is the prediction for Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dinamo Kirov 17%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–0 Dinamo Kirov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov?
Novosibirsk vs Dinamo Kirov (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
