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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mashuk-KMV v Novosibirsk: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Central Stadium
3–1
FT
Mashuk-KMV 49%Draw 22%Novosibirsk 29% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.90
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMashuk-KMV to win ✓49% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89

Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Mashuk-KMV v Novosibirsk in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Central Stadium. In the table, Mashuk-KMV are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Novosibirsk are 5th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mashuk-KMV, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Vladivostok, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Novosibirsk, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Kirov, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Mashuk-KMV 2–0 Novosibirsk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Mashuk-KMV 1 win, Novosibirsk 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mashuk-KMV 1.3 xG, Novosibirsk 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mashuk-KMV 49%, draw 22%, Novosibirsk 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.79.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mashuk-KMV 1–0 Novosibirsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mashuk-KMV49%fair 2.04 · @1.98
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.28
Novosibirsk29%fair 3.41 · @3.30
2.20Expected goals
1.30Mashuk-KMV xG
0.90Novosibirsk xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.3 – 0.9 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMashuk-KMV to win ✓49%2.041.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.79
Draw no betMashuk-KMV (draw no bet) ✓63%1.60–
Asian handicapNovosibirsk +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreMashuk-KMV to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mashuk-KMV / FT Mashuk-KMV ✓27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.89–

Recent results

Mashuk-KMV – last 6

LDDDDD
30 Aug@ Dinamo Vladivostok0–1L
22 Augvs Alaniya Vladikavkaz0–0D
16 Augvs Kaluga1–1D
12 Aug@ Astrakhan1–1D
8 Aug@ Dinamo Kirov0–0D
2 Augvs FK Sokol Saratov1–1D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Novosibirsk – last 6

LDDDLL
30 Augvs Dinamo Kirov0–1L
22 Aug@ FK Sokol Saratov2–2D
16 Augvs Volgar Astrakhan2–2D
12 Aug@ KDV2–2D
8 Aug@ Dinamo Bryansk0–1L
2 Augvs Rodina Moskva II1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Mashuk-KMV v Novosibirsk2–0
12 Apr 2026Novosibirsk v Mashuk-KMV2–2
Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novosibirsk 29%.

How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

Our predicted score is Mashuk-KMV 1–0 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?

Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.