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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Volgar Astrakhan v Kaluga: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Tsentralnyi Stadion
1–1
FT

Kaluga

DWLDW
Volgar Astrakhan 62%Draw 22%Kaluga 16% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.51
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.54Odds
1

Value bet: Volgar Astrakhan to win @ 1.81 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVolgar Astrakhan to win ✗62% · @1.81
Double chanceVolgar Astrakhan or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.87

Volgar Astrakhan vs Kaluga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Volgar Astrakhan v Kaluga in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Tsentralnyi Stadion. In the table, Volgar Astrakhan are 9th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 17 matches; Kaluga are 10th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

Volgar Astrakhan, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Bryansk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kaluga, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alaniya Vladikavkaz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Kaluga 3–3 Volgar Astrakhan. The last 2 head-to-heads: Volgar Astrakhan 0 wins, Kaluga 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Volgar Astrakhan 1.4 xG, Kaluga 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Volgar Astrakhan 62%, draw 22%, Kaluga 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Volgar Astrakhan or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Volgar Astrakhan to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.54). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volgar Astrakhan 1–0 Kaluga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Volgar Astrakhan62%fair 1.61 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.28
Kaluga16%fair 6.32 · @3.92
1.93Expected goals
1.42Volgar Astrakhan xG
0.51Kaluga xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
2–015%
0–014%
1–111%
2–17%
0–17%

From our goals model: Volgar Astrakhan 1.4 – 0.5 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVolgar Astrakhan to win ✗62%1.611.81 ▲
Double chanceVolgar Astrakhan or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.65
Draw no betVolgar Astrakhan (draw no bet)80%1.26–
Asian handicapKaluga +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.631.39
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.54
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreVolgar Astrakhan to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Volgar Astrakhan / FT Volgar Astrakhan ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.87–

Recent results

Volgar Astrakhan – last 6

DWLDWW
30 Aug@ Dinamo Bryansk1–1D
26 Augvs Spartak Nalchik3–0W
22 Augvs Rodina Moskva II0–1L
16 Aug@ Novosibirsk2–2D
12 Augvs Pobeda2–0W
8 Augvs Dinamo Vladivostok1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kaluga – last 6

DWLDWD
30 Augvs Alaniya Vladikavkaz1–1D
25 Aug@ Avangard Kursk2–1W
22 Augvs Dinamo Bryansk0–1L
16 Aug@ Mashuk-KMV1–1D
12 Augvs Iskra Smolensk5–0W
8 Augvs Rodina Moskva II0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Kaluga v Volgar Astrakhan3–3
15 Mar 2026Volgar Astrakhan v Kaluga0–3
Volgar Astrakhan vs Kaluga head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

More Second League A Fall Season Gold predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Volgar Astrakhan vs Kaluga?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.

Who will win Volgar Astrakhan vs Kaluga?

On our numbers Volgar Astrakhan have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kaluga 16%.

How many goals will there be in Volgar Astrakhan vs Kaluga?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Volgar Astrakhan vs Kaluga?

Our predicted score is Volgar Astrakhan 1–0 Kaluga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Volgar Astrakhan vs Kaluga?

Volgar Astrakhan vs Kaluga (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.