Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Novosibirsk vs Kaluga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kaluga travel to face Novosibirsk on Sunday 20 September in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, with Stadion Spartak the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Novosibirsk are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Kaluga are 10th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Novosibirsk, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alaniya Vladikavkaz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Kaluga, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Vladivostok, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kaluga, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Novosibirsk.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Kaluga 0–1 Novosibirsk. The last 3 head-to-heads: Novosibirsk 3 wins, Kaluga 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novosibirsk 1.6 xG, Kaluga 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novosibirsk 61%, draw 22%, Kaluga 17%.
Lower-risk option: Novosibirsk or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.79.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novosibirsk 1–0 Kaluga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novosibirsk61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.42
Kaluga17%fair 5.76 · @4.15
2.25Expected goals
1.58Novosibirsk xG
0.67Kaluga xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.6 – 0.7 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Kaluga?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kaluga 17%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Kaluga?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Kaluga?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–0 Kaluga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Kaluga?
Novosibirsk vs Kaluga (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
