Double chanceRodina Moskva II or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Rodina Moskva II v Kaluga in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina. In the table, Rodina Moskva II are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 17 matches; Kaluga are 10th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rodina Moskva II, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Novosibirsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kaluga, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Kirov, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rodina Moskva II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kaluga.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Kaluga 0–0 Rodina Moskva II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Rodina Moskva II 0 wins, Kaluga 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva II 1.9 xG, Kaluga 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva II 68%, draw 21%, Kaluga 11%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.68.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Kaluga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva II68%fair 1.47 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.50
Kaluga11%fair 9.29 · @6.30
2.48Expected goals
1.88Rodina Moskva II xG
0.59Kaluga xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.9 – 0.6 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kaluga 11%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Kaluga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
