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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mashuk-KMV v Rodina Moskva II: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Central Stadium
3–0
FT
Mashuk-KMV 23%Draw 20%Rodina Moskva II 56% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.70
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Rodina Moskva II to win @ 1.89 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗56% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rodina Moskva II travel to face Mashuk-KMV on Monday 9 November in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, with Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Mashuk-KMV are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Rodina Moskva II are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.

Current form

Mashuk-KMV, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Novosibirsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Rodina Moskva II, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Kirov, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended Rodina Moskva II 3–1 Mashuk-KMV. The last 3 head-to-heads: Mashuk-KMV 0 wins, Rodina Moskva II 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mashuk-KMV 1.0 xG, Rodina Moskva II 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mashuk-KMV 23%, draw 20%, Rodina Moskva II 56%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.51.
  • Price worth noting: Rodina Moskva II to win @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mashuk-KMV 0–1 Rodina Moskva II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mashuk-KMV23%fair 4.26 · @3.36
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.38
Rodina Moskva II56%fair 1.77 · @1.89
2.67Expected goals
0.97Mashuk-KMV xG
1.70Rodina Moskva II xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.0 – 1.7 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRodina Moskva II to win ✗56%1.771.89 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.51
Draw no betRodina Moskva II (draw no bet) ✗71%1.42–
Asian handicapMashuk-KMV +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.15
First team to scoreRodina Moskva II to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Mashuk-KMV – last 6

DDDDDD
31 Oct@ Novosibirsk1–1D
24 Octvs Dinamo Vladivostok2–2D
18 Oct@ Alaniya Vladikavkaz3–3D
10 Oct@ Kaluga0–0D
4 Octvs Dinamo Kirov1–1D
27 Sep@ FK Sokol Saratov0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rodina Moskva II – last 6

DLDWWL
31 Octvs Dinamo Kirov1–1D
24 Oct@ FK Sokol Saratov0–3L
18 Octvs Volgar Astrakhan1–1D
11 Oct@ Dinamo Bryansk3–2W
4 Octvs Kaluga3–0W
27 Sepvs Novosibirsk1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Sep 2026Rodina Moskva II v Mashuk-KMV3–1
23 May 2026Mashuk-KMV v Rodina Moskva II2–2
4 Apr 2026Rodina Moskva II v Mashuk-KMV0–0
Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rodina Moskva II 56%.

How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

Our predicted score is Mashuk-KMV 0–1 Rodina Moskva II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II?

Mashuk-KMV vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.