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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MSV Duisburg v Havelse: numbers & prediction

3. Liga · Germany · Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
2–1
FT

Havelse

DLWLL
MSV Duisburg 65%Draw 18%Havelse 17% Expected goals 2.44 – 1.16
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultMSV Duisburg to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceMSV Duisburg or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.60

MSV Duisburg vs Havelse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

MSV Duisburg welcome Havelse to Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena for a 3. Liga fixture on Tuesday 15 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, MSV Duisburg are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 13 matches; Havelse are 20th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

MSV Duisburg, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fortuna Düsseldorf, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Havelse, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours MSV Duisburg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Havelse.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended MSV Duisburg 1–1 Havelse.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MSV Duisburg 2.4 xG, Havelse 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MSV Duisburg 65%, draw 18%, Havelse 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: MSV Duisburg 2–1 Havelse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MSV Duisburg65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.75
Havelse17%fair 6.01 · @8.00
3.60Expected goals
2.44MSV Duisburg xG
1.16Havelse xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 2.4 – 1.2 Havelse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMSV Duisburg to win ✓65%1.531.30
Double chanceMSV Duisburg or draw ✓83%1.201.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.67 ▲
Draw no betMSV Duisburg (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapMSV Duisburg -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
First team to scoreMSV Duisburg to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultMSV Duisburg ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.60–

Recent results

MSV Duisburg – last 6

LWWLWW
12 Sep@ Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2L
5 Sep@ SSV Jahn Regensburg2–1W
29 Augvs Würzburger Kickers3–0W
22 Augvs SV Elversberg1–3L
15 Aug@ Verl4–2W
8 Augvs SV Meppen3–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Havelse – last 6

DLWLLL
12 Sepvs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–2D
5 Sep@ Preußen Münster1–2L
30 Augvs Waldhof Mannheim3–2W
15 Aug@ Rot-Weiß Essen0–1L
8 Augvs Stuttgart II2–3L
25 Jul@ Hannover 96 II1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026MSV Duisburg v Havelse1–1
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse head-to-head page →

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln13922+1829
2MSV Duisburg13922+1529
3Rot-Weiß Essen13832+827
4SV Wehen13634+921
5FC Ingolstadt 0413634021
6FC Saarbrücken13625+520
7Alemannia Aachen13625020
8Waldhof Mannheim13616+319
9Hoffenheim II13616+219
10Hansa Rostock13544019
11SV Meppen13535018
12Stuttgart II13535-118
13Fortuna Düsseldorf13445-316
14Preußen Münster13436-415
15Würzburger Kickers13427-814
16SSV Jahn Regensburg13346013
17Verl13337-1012
18SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach13337-1612
19Fortuna Köln13247-610
20Havelse13247-1210

More 3. Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Havelse 17%.

How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 2–1 Havelse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?

MSV Duisburg vs Havelse (3. Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.