FC Ingolstadt 04 v Hoffenheim II Prediction & Expected Goals (16 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Ingolstadt 04 to win ✗57% · @1.91

Double chanceFC Ingolstadt 04 or draw ✗79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 16 September the 3. Liga brings FC Ingolstadt 04 against Hoffenheim II at Audi Sportpark. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Hoffenheim II are 9th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Ingolstadt 04, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Saarbrücken, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Hoffenheim II, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortuna Köln, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Ingolstadt 04 1.9 xG, Hoffenheim II 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Ingolstadt 04 57%, draw 22%, Hoffenheim II 21%.
Lower-risk option: FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw (79%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw (79%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Hoffenheim II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Ingolstadt 0457%fair 1.76 · @1.91

Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60

Hoffenheim II21%fair 4.67 · @3.20

3.00Expected goals

1.91FC Ingolstadt 04 xG

1.09Hoffenheim II xG

62%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–010%

2–09%

3–16%

3–06%

From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.9 – 1.1 Hoffenheim II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Ingolstadt 04 to win ✗	57%	1.76	1.91 ▲
Double chance	FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw ✗	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.44
Draw no bet	FC Ingolstadt 04 (draw no bet) ✗	73%	1.38	–
Asian handicap	Hoffenheim II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	FC Ingolstadt 04 to score first	61%	1.65	–
Half-time result	FC Ingolstadt 04 ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.39	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Ingolstadt 04 / FT FC Ingolstadt 04 ✗	36%	2.81	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.10	–

FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6

WLWDDL

12 Sep	@ FC Saarbrücken	1–0	W
4 Sep	vs Alemannia Aachen	0–3	L
29 Aug	@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2–0	W
15 Aug	@ Preußen Münster	1–1	D
8 Aug	vs Würzburger Kickers	2–2	D
1 Aug	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1–4	L

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Hoffenheim II – last 6

DLWWLL

13 Sep	vs Fortuna Köln	2–2	D
6 Sep	@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	0–1	L
29 Aug	vs SSV Jahn Regensburg	5–1	W
15 Aug	@ Fortuna Düsseldorf	2–0	W
9 Aug	vs Hansa Rostock	2–3	L
1 Aug	@ FC 08 Homburg	1–2	L

2.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	13	9	2	2	+18	29
2	MSV Duisburg	13	9	2	2	+15	29
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	13	8	3	2	+8	27
4	SV Wehen	13	6	3	4	+9	21
5	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	6	3	4	0	21
6	FC Saarbrücken	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Alemannia Aachen	13	6	2	5	0	20
8	Waldhof Mannheim	13	6	1	6	+3	19
9	Hoffenheim II	13	6	1	6	+2	19
10	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	0	19
11	SV Meppen	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	Stuttgart II	13	5	3	5	-1	18
13	Fortuna Düsseldorf	13	4	4	5	-3	16
14	Preußen Münster	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Würzburger Kickers	13	4	2	7	-8	14
16	SSV Jahn Regensburg	13	3	4	6	0	13
17	Verl	13	3	3	7	-10	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	13	3	3	7	-16	12
19	Fortuna Köln	13	2	4	7	-6	10
20	Havelse	13	2	4	7	-12	10

Team

Pts

+18

+15

-1

-3

-4

-8

-10

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

-16

Fortuna Köln

-6

Havelse

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?

Our pick is FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?

On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hoffenheim II 21%.

How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?

Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 Hoffenheim II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II?

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II (3. Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Ingolstadt 04 v Hoffenheim II: numbers & prediction