SV Wehen v MSV Duisburg Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMSV Duisburg to win ✓48% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69

SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: SV Wehen v MSV Duisburg in the 3. Liga, played at Brita Arena. In the table, SV Wehen are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; MSV Duisburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.

Current form

SV Wehen, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fortuna Köln, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

MSV Duisburg, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Havelse, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours MSV Duisburg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for SV Wehen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SV Wehen 1.2 xG, MSV Duisburg 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – SV Wehen 30%, draw 23%, MSV Duisburg 48%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: SV Wehen 1–1 MSV Duisburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SV Wehen30%fair 3.37 · @2.90

Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10

MSV Duisburg48%fair 2.10 · @2.15

2.83Expected goals

1.21SV Wehen xG

1.62MSV Duisburg xG

58%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

0–28%

1–07%

2–17%

From our goals model: SV Wehen 1.2 – 1.6 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	MSV Duisburg to win ✓	48%	2.10	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	1.65
Draw no bet	MSV Duisburg (draw no bet) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Asian handicap	SV Wehen +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	MSV Duisburg to score first	54%	1.86	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.45	–
Half-time / full-time	HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg ✓	28%	3.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.69	–

SV Wehen – last 6

WLDDLL

16 Sep	@ Fortuna Köln	2–0	W
13 Sep	vs Waldhof Mannheim	0–1	L
5 Sep	@ Hansa Rostock	1–1	D
29 Aug	vs Rot-Weiß Essen	0–0	D
22 Aug	vs Bayer Leverkusen	0–4	L
14 Aug	@ Würzburger Kickers	0–4	L

0.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

MSV Duisburg – last 6

WLWWLW

15 Sep	vs Havelse	2–1	W
12 Sep	@ Fortuna Düsseldorf	1–2	L
5 Sep	@ SSV Jahn Regensburg	2–1	W
29 Aug	vs Würzburger Kickers	3–0	W
22 Aug	vs SV Elversberg	1–3	L
15 Aug	@ Verl	4–2	W

2.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	13	9	2	2	+18	29
2	MSV Duisburg	13	9	2	2	+15	29
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	13	8	3	2	+8	27
4	SV Wehen	13	6	3	4	+9	21
5	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	6	3	4	0	21
6	FC Saarbrücken	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Alemannia Aachen	13	6	2	5	0	20
8	Waldhof Mannheim	13	6	1	6	+3	19
9	Hoffenheim II	13	6	1	6	+2	19
10	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	0	19
11	SV Meppen	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	Stuttgart II	13	5	3	5	-1	18
13	Fortuna Düsseldorf	13	4	4	5	-3	16
14	Preußen Münster	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Würzburger Kickers	13	4	2	7	-8	14
16	SSV Jahn Regensburg	13	3	4	6	0	13
17	Verl	13	3	3	7	-10	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	13	3	3	7	-16	12
19	Fortuna Köln	13	2	4	7	-6	10
20	Havelse	13	2	4	7	-12	10

Team

Pts

+18

+15

-1

-3

-4

-8

-10

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

-16

Fortuna Köln

-6

Havelse

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg?

On our numbers SV Wehen have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and MSV Duisburg 48%.

How many goals will there be in SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg?

Our predicted score is SV Wehen 1–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg?

SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Brita Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

SV Wehen v MSV Duisburg: numbers & prediction