Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fortuna Düsseldorf to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFortuna Düsseldorf to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceFortuna Düsseldorf or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Verl travel to face Fortuna Düsseldorf on Sunday 11 October in the 3. Liga, with Merkur Spiel-Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Fortuna Düsseldorf are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Verl are 17th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Fortuna Düsseldorf, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alemannia Aachen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Verl, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hannover 96, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.8 xG, Verl 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortuna Düsseldorf 64%, draw 20%, Verl 16%.
Lower-risk option: Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Fortuna Düsseldorf to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–0 Verl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortuna Düsseldorf64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.70
Verl16%fair 6.19 · @3.80
2.57Expected goals
1.81Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
0.76Verl xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.8 – 0.8 Verl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win✗
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.53
Draw no bet
Fortuna Düsseldorf (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Fortuna Düsseldorf to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Fortuna Düsseldorf ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortuna Düsseldorf / FT Fortuna Düsseldorf✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 6
LWWDWL
19 Sep
@ Alemannia Aachen
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs MSV Duisburg
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Fortuna Köln
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Stuttgart II
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs SC Freiburg
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Verl – last 6
LWDWWL
3 Oct
@ Hannover 96
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs Würzburger Kickers
2–1
W
15 Sep
@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs SV Meppen
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Waldhof Mannheim
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Fortuna Köln
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl?
Our pick is Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl?
On our numbers Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Verl 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–0 Verl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
