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Waldhof Mannheim v FC Ingolstadt 04: numbers & prediction

3. Liga · Germany · Carl-Benz-Stadion
Waldhof Mannheim 61%Draw 17%FC Ingolstadt 04 22% Expected goals 2.07 – 1.12
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Waldhof Mannheim to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWaldhof Mannheim to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 14 October the 3. Liga brings Waldhof Mannheim against FC Ingolstadt 04 at Carl-Benz-Stadion. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Waldhof Mannheim are 8th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Waldhof Mannheim, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

FC Ingolstadt 04, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to SV Wehen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Waldhof Mannheim, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for FC Ingolstadt 04.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waldhof Mannheim 2.1 xG, FC Ingolstadt 04 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waldhof Mannheim 61%, draw 17%, FC Ingolstadt 04 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Waldhof Mannheim to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waldhof Mannheim61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @3.60
FC Ingolstadt 0422%fair 4.58 · @3.25
3.19Expected goals
2.07Waldhof Mannheim xG
1.12FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Waldhof Mannheim 2.1 – 1.1 FC Ingolstadt 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaldhof Mannheim to win ✗61%1.631.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.40
Draw no betWaldhof Mannheim (draw no bet) ✗74%1.36–
Asian handicapFC Ingolstadt 04 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreWaldhof Mannheim to score first ✗62%1.60–
Half-time resultWaldhof Mannheim ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waldhof Mannheim / FT Waldhof Mannheim ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Waldhof Mannheim – last 6

WLWLWL
10 Oct@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach5–1W
3 Octvs FSV Mainz 050–3L
20 Sepvs Preußen Münster2–0W
16 Sepvs Rot-Weiß Essen1–2L
13 Sep@ SV Wehen1–0W
5 Sepvs Verl0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6

LLLLWL
11 Octvs SV Wehen2–4L
2 Oct@ 1. FC Nürnberg1–3L
19 Sep@ FC Viktoria Köln0–3L
16 Sepvs Hoffenheim II1–2L
12 Sep@ FC Saarbrücken1–0W
4 Sepvs Alemannia Aachen0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04.

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 head-to-head page →

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln13922+1829
2MSV Duisburg13922+1529
3Rot-Weiß Essen13832+827
4SV Wehen13634+921
5FC Ingolstadt 0413634021
6FC Saarbrücken13625+520
7Alemannia Aachen13625020
8Waldhof Mannheim13616+319
9Hoffenheim II13616+219
10Hansa Rostock13544019
11SV Meppen13535018
12Stuttgart II13535-118
13Fortuna Düsseldorf13445-316
14Preußen Münster13436-415
15Würzburger Kickers13427-814
16SSV Jahn Regensburg13346013
17Verl13337-1012
18SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach13337-1612
19Fortuna Köln13247-610
20Havelse13247-1210

More 3. Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

On our numbers Waldhof Mannheim have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Ingolstadt 04 22%.

How many goals will there be in Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Our predicted score is Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (3. Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Carl-Benz-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.