Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceRot-Weiß Essen or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 13 October the 3. Liga brings Rot-Weiß Essen against Fortuna Köln at Stadion Essen. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 13 matches; Fortuna Köln are 19th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rot-Weiß Essen, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Preußen Münster, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Fortuna Köln, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Saarbrücken, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rot-Weiß Essen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Fortuna Köln.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rot-Weiß Essen 2.0 xG, Fortuna Köln 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rot-Weiß Essen 66%, draw 23%, Fortuna Köln 11%.
Lower-risk option: Rot-Weiß Essen or draw (89%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rot-Weiß Essen to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0 Fortuna Köln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rot-Weiß Essen66%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.20
Fortuna Köln11%fair 8.89 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
2.01Rot-Weiß Essen xG
0.74Fortuna Köln xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 2.0 – 0.7 Fortuna Köln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Rot-Weiß Essen or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Draw no bet
Rot-Weiß Essen (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Rot-Weiß Essen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Rot-Weiß Essen to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6
DDDWWW
9 Oct
@ Preußen Münster
3–3
D
3 Oct
@ Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Hansa Rostock
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Waldhof Mannheim
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Würzburger Kickers
6–2
W
5 Sep
vs FC Viktoria Köln
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fortuna Köln – last 6
DWLDDW
10 Oct
vs FC Saarbrücken
0–0
D
25 Sep
@ Havelse
3–1
W
16 Sep
vs SV Wehen
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Hoffenheim II
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Verl
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and Fortuna Köln.
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln?
Our pick is Rot-Weiß Essen to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln?
On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fortuna Köln 11%.
How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln?
Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0 Fortuna Köln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln (3. Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Essen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
