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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg: numbers & prediction

3. Liga · Germany · Audi Sportpark
2–1
FT
FC Ingolstadt 04 34%Draw 21%MSV Duisburg 44% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.80
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultMSV Duisburg to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg in the 3. Liga, played at Audi Sportpark. In the table, FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; MSV Duisburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.

Current form

FC Ingolstadt 04, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rot-Weiß Essen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

MSV Duisburg, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Viktoria Köln, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours MSV Duisburg, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for FC Ingolstadt 04.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended FC Ingolstadt 04 0–0 MSV Duisburg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Ingolstadt 04 1.6 xG, MSV Duisburg 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Ingolstadt 04 34%, draw 21%, MSV Duisburg 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 MSV Duisburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Ingolstadt 0434%fair 2.93 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
MSV Duisburg44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
3.35Expected goals
1.55FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
1.80MSV Duisburg xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%

From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.6 – 1.8 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMSV Duisburg to win ✗44%2.252.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.50
Draw no betMSV Duisburg (draw no bet) ✗57%1.77–
Asian handicapFC Ingolstadt 04 +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
First team to scoreMSV Duisburg to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6

WWLLLL
17 Octvs Rot-Weiß Essen1–0W
14 Oct@ Waldhof Mannheim3–0W
11 Octvs SV Wehen2–4L
2 Oct@ 1. FC Nürnberg1–3L
19 Sep@ FC Viktoria Köln0–3L
16 Sepvs Hoffenheim II1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

MSV Duisburg – last 6

DWWWWL
18 Octvs FC Viktoria Köln1–1D
13 Oct@ FC Saarbrücken4–2W
10 Octvs Hoffenheim II3–2W
20 Sep@ SV Wehen4–1W
15 Sepvs Havelse2–1W
12 Sep@ Fortuna Düsseldorf1–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026FC Ingolstadt 04 v MSV Duisburg0–0
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg head-to-head page →

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln13922+1829
2MSV Duisburg13922+1529
3Rot-Weiß Essen13832+827
4SV Wehen13634+921
5FC Ingolstadt 0413634021
6FC Saarbrücken13625+520
7Alemannia Aachen13625020
8Waldhof Mannheim13616+319
9Hoffenheim II13616+219
10Hansa Rostock13544019
11SV Meppen13535018
12Stuttgart II13535-118
13Fortuna Düsseldorf13445-316
14Preußen Münster13436-415
15Würzburger Kickers13427-814
16SSV Jahn Regensburg13346013
17Verl13337-1012
18SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach13337-1612
19Fortuna Köln13247-610
20Havelse13247-1210

More 3. Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MSV Duisburg 44%.

How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.