Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.59 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.59Odds
1
Value bet: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @ 1.76 – our chance 60% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win ✓60% · @1.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rot-Weiß Essen welcome Alemannia Aachen to Stadion an der Hafenstrasse for a 3. Liga fixture on Saturday 7 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 13 matches; Alemannia Aachen are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Rot-Weiß Essen, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alemannia Aachen, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Preußen Münster, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rot-Weiß Essen 2.0 xG, Alemannia Aachen 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rot-Weiß Essen 60%, draw 19%, Alemannia Aachen 21%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.59). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 Alemannia Aachen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rot-Weiß Essen60%fair 1.66 · @1.76
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.74
Alemannia Aachen21%fair 4.83 · @3.54
3.08Expected goals
2.01Rot-Weiß Essen xG
1.07Alemannia Aachen xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 2.0 – 1.1 Alemannia Aachen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win✓
60%
1.66
1.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.45
Draw no bet
Rot-Weiß Essen (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Alemannia Aachen +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.59
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.21
First team to score
Rot-Weiß Essen to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6
WLWLWD
1 Nov
@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1–0
W
27 Oct
vs RB Leipzig
1–2
L
23 Oct
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
0–1
L
13 Oct
vs Fortuna Köln
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Preußen Münster
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alemannia Aachen – last 6
WWWLLL
1 Nov
vs Preußen Münster
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Stuttgart II
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Hansa Rostock
2–0
W
14 Oct
@ SV Wehen
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs FC Viktoria Köln
2–5
L
1 Oct
@ AS Eupen
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and Alemannia Aachen.
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?
On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alemannia Aachen 21%.
How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?
Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 Alemannia Aachen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Alemannia Aachen (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
