Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRentistas to win ✗42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Rentistas vs Cerrito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rentistas welcome Cerrito to Complejo Rentistas for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 18 July (18:00 WAT). In the table, Rentistas are 2nd, among the top four, on 40 points after 25 matches; Cerrito are 8th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Rentistas, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atenas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cerrito, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Miramar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rentistas 1.4 xG, Cerrito 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rentistas 42%, draw 27%, Cerrito 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rentistas 1–1 Cerrito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rentistas42%fair 2.36 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Cerrito31%fair 3.22 · @2.75
2.41Expected goals
1.39Rentistas xG
1.02Cerrito xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Rentistas 1.4 – 1.0 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rentistas
Cerrito
Attack vs Segunda División average
+21%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.52
0.95
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rentistas to win✗
42%
2.36
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Rentistas (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Cerrito +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Rentistas to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rentistas / FT Rentistas✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Rentistas – last 6
WLWWLL
12 Jul
@ Atenas
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–1
W
21 Jun
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Oriental
0–3
L
7 Jun
vs Colón
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cerrito – last 6
WDWLLW
12 Jul
vs Miramar
1–0
W
5 Jul
@ Tacuarembo
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ La Luz
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ CA River Plate
4–6
L
7 Jun
vs Atenas
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rentistas and Cerrito.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Rentistas vs Cerrito?
On our numbers Rentistas have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cerrito 31%.
How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Cerrito?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Cerrito?
Our predicted score is Rentistas 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rentistas vs Cerrito?
Rentistas vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Rentistas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
