Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultColón to win ✗49% · @1.91
Double chanceColón or draw ✗76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Colón vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 July the Segunda División brings Colón against Paysandu. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Colón are 3rd, among the top four, on 39 points after 25 matches; Paysandu are 5th (upper half) with 35.
Current form
Colón, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sportivo Huracan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Paysandu, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fenix, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Colón, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Paysandu.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Paysandu 0–2 Colón.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colón 1.4 xG, Paysandu 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colón 49%, draw 27%, Paysandu 24%.
Lower-risk option: Colón or draw (76%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colón 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colón49%fair 2.04 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Paysandu24%fair 4.20 · @3.80
2.32Expected goals
1.38Colón xG
0.94Paysandu xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Colón 1.4 – 0.9 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colón
Paysandu
Attack vs Segunda División average
+8%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.06
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Colón vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Colón have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Paysandu 24%.
How many goals will there be in Colón vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colón vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Colón 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Colón vs Paysandu?
Colón vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
