Nacional Asuncion 38%Draw 28%Olimpia 34%Expected goals 1.13 – 0.96
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓38% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.18
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Wednesday 29 July: Nacional Asuncion v Olimpia in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Arsenio Erico. In the table, Nacional Asuncion are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 19 matches; Olimpia are 1st (leading the league) with 42.
Current form
Nacional Asuncion, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Ameliano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Olimpia, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Libertad Asuncion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Asuncion 1.1 xG, Olimpia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Asuncion 38%, draw 28%, Olimpia 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacional Asuncion38%fair 2.65 · @2.76
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.92
Olimpia34%fair 2.94 · @2.58
2.09Expected goals
1.13Nacional Asuncion xG
0.96Olimpia xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.1 – 1.0 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win✓
38%
2.65
2.76
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Nacional Asuncion (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Olimpia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Nacional Asuncion to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.18
–
Recent results
Nacional Asuncion – last 6
DWWWDD
25 Jul
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
24 May
vs Libertad Asuncion
2–1
W
10 May
vs Sportivo Trinidense
2–1
W
4 May
@ Club Guarani
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Cerro Porteno
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Olimpia – last 6
LLWWWD
26 Jul
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Flamengo
2–4
L
27 May
vs A. Italiano
3–1
W
20 May
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–1
W
7 May
@ Barracas Central
2–1
W
3 May
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional Asuncion and Olimpia.
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia?
On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Olimpia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia?
Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia?
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
