Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 3 August the Division Profesional Clausura brings Deportivo Recoleta against Nacional Asuncion at Estadio Ricardo Gregor. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Recoleta are 11th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 19 matches; Nacional Asuncion are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Libertad Asuncion, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Nacional Asuncion, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Olimpia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nacional Asuncion, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Deportivo Recoleta.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Deportivo Recoleta 2–2 Nacional Asuncion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Recoleta 0.9 xG, Nacional Asuncion 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Recoleta 24%, draw 26%, Nacional Asuncion 50%.
Lower-risk option: Nacional Asuncion or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nacional Asuncion or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Recoleta 0–1 Nacional Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Recoleta24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.15
Nacional Asuncion50%fair 1.99 · @1.99
2.54Expected goals
0.95Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.59Nacional Asuncion xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 0.9 – 1.6 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Nacional Asuncion or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nacional Asuncion 50%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 0–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ricardo Gregor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
