Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Trabzonspor to win @ 1.81 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTrabzonspor to win ✗62% · @1.81
Double chanceTrabzonspor or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trabzonspor travel to face Kasımpaşa on Saturday 15 August in the Süper Lig, with Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Kasımpaşa are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; Trabzonspor are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Kasımpaşa, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Samsunspor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Trabzonspor, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Göztepe, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kasımpaşa 0.9 xG, Trabzonspor 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kasımpaşa 17%, draw 21%, Trabzonspor 62%.
Lower-risk option: Trabzonspor or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Trabzonspor to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Trabzonspor or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kasımpaşa 0–1 Trabzonspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kasımpaşa17%fair 5.73 · @4.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Trabzonspor62%fair 1.62 · @1.81
2.78Expected goals
0.88Kasımpaşa xG
1.90Trabzonspor xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Kasımpaşa 0.9 – 1.9 Trabzonspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trabzonspor to win✗
62%
1.62
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Trabzonspor or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Trabzonspor (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Trabzonspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Trabzonspor to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Trabzonspor ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trabzonspor / FT Trabzonspor✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Kasımpaşa – last 6
WDWDWL
8 Aug
vs Samsunspor
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Batman Petrolspor
1–1
D
17 May
vs Galatasaray
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Başakşehir
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trabzonspor – last 6
LWLWLW
8 Aug
@ Göztepe
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Udinese
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs Al Sadd
0–1
L
22 May
vs Konyaspor
2–1
W
17 May
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–3
L
13 May
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor.
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
Our pick is Trabzonspor or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
On our numbers Kasımpaşa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Trabzonspor 62%.
How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 0–1 Trabzonspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
