Value bet: Göztepe to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSamsunspor to win ✗43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Samsunspor vs Göztepe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 17 August the Süper Lig brings Samsunspor against Göztepe at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Samsunspor are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Göztepe are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Samsunspor, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kasımpaşa, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Göztepe, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Trabzonspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samsunspor 1.4 xG, Göztepe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samsunspor 43%, draw 22%, Göztepe 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Göztepe to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samsunspor 1–1 Göztepe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samsunspor43%fair 2.32 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Göztepe35%fair 2.84 · @3.05
2.61Expected goals
1.39Samsunspor xG
1.22Göztepe xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.4 – 1.2 Göztepe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samsunspor to win✗
43%
2.32
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Samsunspor (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Göztepe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Samsunspor to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Samsunspor / FT Samsunspor✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Samsunspor – last 6
LWWDLW
8 Aug
@ Kasımpaşa
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ KVC Westerlo
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ AEK Athens FC
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ RAAL La Louvière
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Alanyaspor
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Göztepe – last 6
WDWWWL
8 Aug
vs Trabzonspor
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Rudes
1–1
D
23 Jul
@ Zorya Luhansk
2–1
W
16 Jul
@ LNZ Cherkasy
2–0
W
13 Jul
@ HNK Gorica
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Galatasaray
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Göztepe.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Göztepe 35%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–1 Göztepe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Göztepe?
Samsunspor vs Göztepe (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
