Value bet: Kasımpaşa to win @ 2.92 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultÇorum FK to win ✗42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Süper Lig brings Çorum FK against Kasımpaşa at Corum Stadyumu. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Çorum FK are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Kasımpaşa are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Çorum FK, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Galatasaray, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kasımpaşa, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Trabzonspor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Çorum FK 1.5 xG, Kasımpaşa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Çorum FK 42%, draw 22%, Kasımpaşa 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Kasımpaşa to win @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Çorum FK 1–1 Kasımpaşa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Çorum FK42%fair 2.38 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.45
Kasımpaşa36%fair 2.75 · @2.92
2.87Expected goals
1.50Çorum FK xG
1.37Kasımpaşa xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Çorum FK 1.5 – 1.4 Kasımpaşa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Çorum FK to win✗
42%
2.38
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Draw no bet
Çorum FK (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Kasımpaşa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Çorum FK to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Çorum FK / FT Çorum FK✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Çorum FK – last 6
DWLWWW
14 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–2
D
24 May
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
11 May
@ Bodrum FK
0–1
L
7 May
vs Keçiörengücü
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Sakaryaspor
4–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sivasspor
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kasımpaşa – last 6
DWDWDW
15 Aug
vs Trabzonspor
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Samsunspor
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Batman Petrolspor
1–1
D
17 May
vs Galatasaray
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Çorum FK and Kasımpaşa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
On our numbers Çorum FK have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kasımpaşa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
Our predicted score is Çorum FK 1–1 Kasımpaşa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Corum Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
