Erzurumspor FK 18%Draw 19%Galatasaray 63%Expected goals 1.05 – 2.14
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGalatasaray to win ✓63% · @1.43
Double chanceGalatasaray or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Galatasaray travel to face Erzurumspor FK on Friday 21 August in the Süper Lig, with Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Erzurumspor FK are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Galatasaray are 1st (leading the league) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Erzurumspor FK, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Amed, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Galatasaray, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Çorum FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Erzurumspor FK, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Galatasaray.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzurumspor FK 1.1 xG, Galatasaray 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzurumspor FK 18%, draw 19%, Galatasaray 63%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Galatasaray. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzurumspor FK18%fair 5.46 · @6.20
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.75
Galatasaray63%fair 1.59 · @1.43
3.20Expected goals
1.05Erzurumspor FK xG
2.14Galatasaray xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.1 – 2.1 Galatasaray expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galatasaray to win✓
63%
1.59
1.43
Double chance
Galatasaray or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Galatasaray (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Galatasaray -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
First team to score
Galatasaray to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Galatasaray ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galatasaray / FT Galatasaray✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
LDDDWW
16 Aug
@ Amed
0–3
L
17 Jul
vs Rizespor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ İstanbulspor
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Galatasaray – last 6
DLDLLW
14 Aug
vs Çorum FK
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Villarreal
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Rennes
3–3
D
27 Jul
vs Venezia
0–3
L
24 Jul
vs Monza
0–2
L
17 Jul
@ Ümraniyespor
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Galatasaray.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Galatasaray 63%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Galatasaray, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?
Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
