Value bet: Amed to win @ 3.25 – our chance 42% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmed to win ✗42% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Kocaelispor vs Amed: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 24 August the Süper Lig brings Kocaelispor against Amed at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Kocaelispor are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Amed are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Kocaelispor, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Başakşehir, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Amed, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Erzurumspor FK, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Amed, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Kocaelispor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kocaelispor 1.2 xG, Amed 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kocaelispor 35%, draw 23%, Amed 42%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Amed to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kocaelispor 1–1 Amed. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kocaelispor35%fair 2.85 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Amed42%fair 2.39 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.18Kocaelispor xG
1.32Amed xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.2 – 1.3 Amed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amed to win✗
42%
2.39
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Amed (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Kocaelispor +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Amed to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amed / FT Amed✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Kocaelispor – last 6
LLLDLL
16 Aug
@ Başakşehir
0–2
L
17 May
@ Antalyaspor
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Başakşehir
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Alanyaspor
0–5
L
14 Mar
vs Konyaspor
1–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Amed – last 6
WDLDDW
16 Aug
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Bodrum FK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bandırmaspor
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Ümraniyespor
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Boluspor
6–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Amed.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Amed?
On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Amed 42%.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Amed?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Amed?
Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 1–1 Amed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kocaelispor vs Amed?
Kocaelispor vs Amed (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
