Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✓69% · @1.42
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.46
Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Beşiktaş welcome Çorum FK to Tüpraş Stadyumu for a Süper Lig fixture on Monday 31 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Beşiktaş are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Çorum FK are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Beşiktaş, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kauno Žalgiris, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Çorum FK, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kasımpaşa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beşiktaş 1.7 xG, Çorum FK 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beşiktaş 69%, draw 18%, Çorum FK 13%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beşiktaş 1–0 Çorum FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beşiktaş69%fair 1.45 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @4.20
Çorum FK13%fair 7.98 · @7.80
2.24Expected goals
1.73Beşiktaş xG
0.51Çorum FK xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Beşiktaş 1.7 – 0.5 Çorum FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Draw no bet
Beşiktaş (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Beşiktaş -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.12
First team to score
Beşiktaş to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.46
–
Recent results
Beşiktaş – last 6
LLWWWW
27 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Alanyaspor
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Kauno Žalgiris
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
13 Aug
vs Hradec Králové
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Hradec Králové
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Çorum FK – last 6
LDWLWW
22 Aug
vs Kasımpaşa
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–2
D
24 May
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
11 May
@ Bodrum FK
0–1
L
7 May
vs Keçiörengücü
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Sakaryaspor
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beşiktaş and Çorum FK.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK?
On our numbers Beşiktaş have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Çorum FK 13%.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK?
Our predicted score is Beşiktaş 1–0 Çorum FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK?
Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Tüpraş Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
