Fenerbahçe 61%Draw 23%Beşiktaş 16%Expected goals 2.33 – 1.17
84%
Betarazi pick
Fenerbahçe or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fenerbahçe to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceFenerbahçe or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Fenerbahçe v Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig, played at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu. In the table, Fenerbahçe are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Beşiktaş are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fenerbahçe, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Samsunspor, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Beşiktaş, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Çorum FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenerbahçe 2.3 xG, Beşiktaş 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenerbahçe 61%, draw 23%, Beşiktaş 16%.
Lower-risk option: Fenerbahçe or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Fenerbahçe to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fenerbahçe or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenerbahçe 2–1 Beşiktaş. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenerbahçe61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Beşiktaş16%fair 6.39 · @4.00
3.50Expected goals
2.33Fenerbahçe xG
1.17Beşiktaş xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 2.3 – 1.2 Beşiktaş expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Our pick is Fenerbahçe or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Beşiktaş 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 2–1 Beşiktaş, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş?
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
