Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✓69% · @1.22
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: Beşiktaş v Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig, played at Tüpraş Stadyumu. In the table, Beşiktaş are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Erzurumspor FK are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Beşiktaş, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fenerbahçe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Erzurumspor FK, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Konyaspor, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Beşiktaş, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Erzurumspor FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beşiktaş 2.1 xG, Erzurumspor FK 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beşiktaş 69%, draw 20%, Erzurumspor FK 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beşiktaş to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beşiktaş 2–0 Erzurumspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beşiktaş69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @6.00
Erzurumspor FK11%fair 8.70 · @11.00
2.88Expected goals
2.13Beşiktaş xG
0.75Erzurumspor FK xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beşiktaş 2.1 – 0.7 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Beşiktaş (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Beşiktaş -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Beşiktaş to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Beşiktaş – last 6
WWLLWW
5 Sep
@ Fenerbahçe
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Çorum FK
6–2
W
27 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Alanyaspor
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Kauno Žalgiris
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
WDLLDD
5 Sep
vs Konyaspor
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Galatasaray
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Amed
0–3
L
17 Jul
vs Rizespor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beşiktaş and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Beşiktaş to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Beşiktaş have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Erzurumspor FK 11%.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is Beşiktaş 2–0 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tüpraş Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
