Alanyaspor 57%Draw 26%Erzurumspor FK 17%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.75
83%
Betarazi pick
Alanyaspor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlanyaspor to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceAlanyaspor or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Erzurumspor FK travel to face Alanyaspor on Saturday 10 October in the Süper Lig, with Alanya Oba Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Alanyaspor are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Erzurumspor FK are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alanyaspor, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Çorum FK, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Erzurumspor FK, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Samsunspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Alanyaspor, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Erzurumspor FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alanyaspor 1.6 xG, Erzurumspor FK 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alanyaspor 57%, draw 26%, Erzurumspor FK 17%.
Lower-risk option: Alanyaspor or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alanyaspor or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alanyaspor 1–0 Erzurumspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alanyaspor57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
Erzurumspor FK17%fair 5.75 · @4.00
2.33Expected goals
1.58Alanyaspor xG
0.75Erzurumspor FK xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alanyaspor 1.6 – 0.8 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alanyaspor to win✗
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Alanyaspor or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.91
Draw no bet
Alanyaspor (draw no bet)
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Erzurumspor FK +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Alanyaspor to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alanyaspor / FT Alanyaspor✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Alanyaspor – last 6
WDWLWD
19 Sep
@ Çorum FK
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Göztepe
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Rizespor
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Eyüpspor
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Beşiktaş
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Gaziantep FK
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
WLWDLL
20 Sep
vs Samsunspor
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Beşiktaş
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Konyaspor
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Galatasaray
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Amed
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Alanyaspor or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Alanyaspor have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Erzurumspor FK 17%.
How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is Alanyaspor 1–0 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Alanya Oba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
