Beşiktaş 67%Draw 21%Kocaelispor 12%Expected goals 1.97 – 0.70
67%
Betarazi pick
Beşiktaş to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.63
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Beşiktaş welcome Kocaelispor to Tüpraş Stadyumu for a Süper Lig fixture on Sunday 11 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Beşiktaş are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Kocaelispor are 7th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Beşiktaş, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Amed, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Kocaelispor, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gaziantep FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beşiktaş 2.0 xG, Kocaelispor 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beşiktaş 67%, draw 21%, Kocaelispor 12%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beşiktaş to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beşiktaş 1–0 Kocaelispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beşiktaş67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @5.50
Kocaelispor12%fair 8.43 · @10.00
2.67Expected goals
1.97Beşiktaş xG
0.70Kocaelispor xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Beşiktaş 2.0 – 0.7 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✓
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Draw no bet
Beşiktaş (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Beşiktaş -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Beşiktaş to score first
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Beşiktaş – last 6
LWWWWL
20 Sep
@ Amed
2–3
L
17 Sep
vs Marseille
4–1
W
11 Sep
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fenerbahçe
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Çorum FK
6–2
W
27 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kocaelispor – last 6
WLWWWL
19 Sep
vs Gaziantep FK
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Galatasaray
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Samsunspor
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Konyaspor
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Amed
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Başakşehir
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor.
What is the prediction for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Beşiktaş to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Beşiktaş have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kocaelispor 12%.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
Our predicted score is Beşiktaş 1–0 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tüpraş Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
