Eyüpspor v Göztepe: numbers & prediction

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Göztepe travel to face Eyüpspor on Monday 12 October in the Süper Lig, with Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Eyüpspor are 18th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 11 matches; Göztepe are 10th (lower half) with 15. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Eyüpspor, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–8 defeat to Fenerbahçe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Göztepe, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rizespor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eyüpspor 1.3 xG, Göztepe 2.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Eyüpspor 17%, draw 21%, Göztepe 62%.
• Lower-risk option: Göztepe or draw (83%) at 1.25.
• GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
• Price worth noting: Göztepe to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Göztepe or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eyüpspor 1–2 Göztepe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.