Fenerbahçe 68%Draw 17%Alanyaspor 16%Expected goals 2.00 – 0.79
68%
Betarazi pick
Fenerbahçe to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chanceFenerbahçe or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓8% · fair 12.23
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fenerbahçe welcome Alanyaspor to Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu for a Süper Lig fixture on Saturday 17 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Fenerbahçe are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Alanyaspor are 13th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Fenerbahçe, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Aston Villa, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Alanyaspor, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Erzurumspor FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenerbahçe 2.0 xG, Alanyaspor 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenerbahçe 68%, draw 17%, Alanyaspor 16%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fenerbahçe to win (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenerbahçe 1–0 Alanyaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenerbahçe68%fair 1.48 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @5.00
Alanyaspor16%fair 6.30 · @8.50
2.79Expected goals
2.00Fenerbahçe xG
0.79Alanyaspor xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 2.0 – 0.8 Alanyaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenerbahçe to win✓
68%
1.48
1.30
Double chance
Fenerbahçe or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.83
Draw no bet
Fenerbahçe (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Fenerbahçe -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Fenerbahçe to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenerbahçe / FT Fenerbahçe✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Fenerbahçe – last 6
LWWWDD
14 Oct
@ Aston Villa
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Rizespor
3–0
W
3 Oct
@ Turan
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Eyüpspor
8–0
W
14 Sep
@ Gaziantep FK
0–0
D
10 Sep
vs AS Roma
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alanyaspor – last 6
DWDWLW
10 Oct
vs Erzurumspor FK
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Çorum FK
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Göztepe
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Rizespor
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Eyüpspor
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Beşiktaş
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor.
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
Our pick is Fenerbahçe to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Alanyaspor 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 1–0 Alanyaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
