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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor: numbers & prediction

Süper Lig · Turkey · Alanya Oba Stadium
1–2
FT
Alanyaspor 60%Draw 22%Kocaelispor 18% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.63
82%
Betarazi pick

Alanyaspor or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Alanyaspor to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlanyaspor to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceAlanyaspor or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Friday 23 October: Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig, played at Alanya Oba Stadium. In the table, Alanyaspor are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Kocaelispor are 7th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Alanyaspor, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Fenerbahçe, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Kocaelispor, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Göztepe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Alanyaspor 5–0 Kocaelispor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alanyaspor 1.5 xG, Kocaelispor 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alanyaspor 60%, draw 22%, Kocaelispor 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alanyaspor or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Alanyaspor to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alanyaspor or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alanyaspor 1–0 Kocaelispor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alanyaspor60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Kocaelispor18%fair 5.64 · @3.90
2.13Expected goals
1.50Alanyaspor xG
0.63Kocaelispor xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Alanyaspor 1.5 – 0.6 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlanyaspor to win ✗60%1.661.95 ▲
Double chanceAlanyaspor or draw ✗82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.991.95
Draw no betAlanyaspor (draw no bet) ✗77%1.29–
Asian handicapKocaelispor +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreAlanyaspor to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alanyaspor / FT Alanyaspor ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.86–

Recent results

Alanyaspor – last 6

LDWDWL
17 Oct@ Fenerbahçe0–3L
10 Octvs Erzurumspor FK0–0D
19 Sep@ Çorum FK2–1W
12 Sepvs Göztepe2–2D
7 Sep@ Rizespor1–0W
30 Aug@ Eyüpspor1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kocaelispor – last 6

LLWLWW
18 Octvs Göztepe1–2L
11 Oct@ Beşiktaş1–2L
19 Sepvs Gaziantep FK2–0W
13 Sep@ Galatasaray0–1L
6 Sepvs Samsunspor1–0W
29 Aug@ Konyaspor2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor5–0
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor head-to-head page →

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray11911+1228
2Trabzonspor11812+1825
3Amed11722+1323
4Beşiktaş11713+1122
5Kasımpaşa11551+620
6Fenerbahçe11614+1919
7Kocaelispor11614+419
8Başakşehir11524+217
9Çorum FK11515016
10Göztepe11434+315
11Rizespor11425-314
12Erzurumspor FK11425-714
13Alanyaspor11335-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11326-911
15Konyaspor11227-88
16Gaziantep FK11227-108
17Samsunspor11218-157
18Eyüpspor111010-273

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our pick is Alanyaspor or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

On our numbers Alanyaspor have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kocaelispor 18%.

How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Our predicted score is Alanyaspor 1–0 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alanya Oba Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.