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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe: numbers & prediction

Süper Lig · Turkey · Rams Park Stadyumu
2–1
FT
Galatasaray 42%Draw 21%Fenerbahçe 37% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.69
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Fenerbahçe to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGalatasaray to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.97

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fenerbahçe travel to face Galatasaray on Monday 26 October in the Süper Lig, with Rams Park Stadyumu the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Galatasaray are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 11 matches; Fenerbahçe are 6th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Galatasaray, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Lille, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Fenerbahçe, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Slavia Praha, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Galatasaray 1.8 xG, Fenerbahçe 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Galatasaray 42%, draw 21%, Fenerbahçe 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Fenerbahçe to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Galatasaray 1–1 Fenerbahçe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Galatasaray42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.60
Fenerbahçe37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
3.50Expected goals
1.81Galatasaray xG
1.69Fenerbahçe xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%

From our goals model: Galatasaray 1.8 – 1.7 Fenerbahçe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGalatasaray to win ✓42%2.382.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.501.40
Draw no betGalatasaray (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapFenerbahçe +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreGalatasaray to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Galatasaray / FT Galatasaray ✓25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.97–

Recent results

Galatasaray – last 6

WWLWDL
21 Oct@ Lille4–2W
17 Oct@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.1–0W
13 Octvs Barcelona1–4L
9 Octvs Kasımpaşa3–1W
2 Oct@ Pendikspor3–3D
19 Sep@ Trabzonspor0–4L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Fenerbahçe – last 6

DWLWWW
20 Octvs Slavia Praha2–2D
17 Octvs Alanyaspor3–0W
14 Oct@ Aston Villa0–6L
10 Oct@ Rizespor3–0W
3 Oct@ Turan2–0W
20 Sepvs Eyüpspor8–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe.

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe head-to-head page →

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray11911+1228
2Trabzonspor11812+1825
3Amed11722+1323
4Beşiktaş11713+1122
5Kasımpaşa11551+620
6Fenerbahçe11614+1919
7Kocaelispor11614+419
8Başakşehir11524+217
9Çorum FK11515016
10Göztepe11434+315
11Rizespor11425-314
12Erzurumspor FK11425-714
13Alanyaspor11335-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11326-911
15Konyaspor11227-88
16Gaziantep FK11227-108
17Samsunspor11218-157
18Eyüpspor111010-273

More Süper Lig predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

On our numbers Galatasaray have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fenerbahçe 37%.

How many goals will there be in Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

Our predicted score is Galatasaray 1–1 Fenerbahçe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Rams Park Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.