Başakşehir v Samsunspor: numbers & prediction

Başakşehir vs Samsunspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Samsunspor travel to face Başakşehir on Sunday 1 November in the Süper Lig, with Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Başakşehir are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Samsunspor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Başakşehir, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Beşiktaş, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Samsunspor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Amed, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Başakşehir, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Samsunspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Başakşehir 2.0 xG, Samsunspor 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Başakşehir 58%, draw 25%, Samsunspor 17%.
• Lower-risk option: Başakşehir or draw (83%) at 1.25.
• GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Başakşehir or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Başakşehir 2–1 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.