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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

France v Spain: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Dallas Stadium

France

WWWWW
0–2
FT

Spain

WWWWW
France 38%Draw 27%Spain 35% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.26
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultFrance to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

France vs Spain: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Tuesday 14 July: France v Spain in the World Cup, played at Dallas Stadium.

Current form

France, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Morocco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Spain, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Belgium, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give France 1.3 xG, Spain 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – France 38%, draw 27%, Spain 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: France 1–1 Spain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

France38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Spain35%fair 2.88 · @3.05
2.60Expected goals
1.33France xG
1.26Spain xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: France 1.3 – 1.3 Spain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFrance to win ✗38%2.612.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.711.65
Draw no betFrance (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapSpain +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
First team to scoreFrance to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT France / FT France ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

France – last 6

WWWWWW
9 Julvs Morocco2–0W
4 Jul@ Paraguay1–0W
30 Junvs Sweden3–0W
26 Jun@ Norway4–1W
22 Junvs Iraq3–0W
16 Junvs Senegal3–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Spain – last 6

WWWWWD
10 Julvs Belgium2–1W
6 Jul@ Portugal1–0W
2 Julvs Austria3–0W
27 Jun@ Uruguay1–0W
21 Junvs Saudi Arabia4–0W
15 Junvs Cape Verde Islands0–0D
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between France and Spain.

France vs Spain head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for France vs Spain?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win France vs Spain?

On our numbers France have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Spain 35%.

How many goals will there be in France vs Spain?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for France vs Spain?

Our predicted score is France 1–1 Spain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is France vs Spain?

France vs Spain (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Dallas Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.