Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHartlepool to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.82
Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aldershot Town welcome Hartlepool to EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground for a National League fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Aldershot Town are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Hartlepool are 21st (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Aldershot Town, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Boston United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hartlepool, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–10 defeat to Middlesbrough U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aldershot Town, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Hartlepool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aldershot Town 1.0 xG, Hartlepool 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aldershot Town 36%, draw 21%, Hartlepool 43%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aldershot Town 1–1 Hartlepool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aldershot Town36%fair 2.80 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.55
Hartlepool43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
2.18Expected goals
1.02Aldershot Town xG
1.17Hartlepool xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Aldershot Town 1.0 – 1.2 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✓
43%
2.31
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.57
Draw no bet
Hartlepool (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Aldershot Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Hartlepool to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.82
–
Recent results
Aldershot Town – last 6
WWWLWW
8 Aug
@ Boston United
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Braintree
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Hanwell Town
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Oxford United
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs Farnborough
2–1
W
15 Jul
vs Portsmouth
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hartlepool – last 6
LWWLWW
11 Aug
vs Middlesbrough U21
0–10
L
8 Aug
vs Barrow
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Grimsby
0–3
L
21 Jul
@ Hebburn Town
3–2
W
18 Jul
@ Spennymoor Town
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aldershot Town and Hartlepool.
What is the prediction for Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers Aldershot Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hartlepool 43%.
How many goals will there be in Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
Our predicted score is Aldershot Town 1–1 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool?
Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
