Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCarlisle to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Carlisle vs Scunthorpe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Monday 31 August: Carlisle v Scunthorpe in the National League, played at Brunton Park. In the table, Carlisle are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Scunthorpe are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Carlisle, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wealdstone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Scunthorpe, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Solihull Moors, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carlisle 2.3 xG, Scunthorpe 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carlisle 64%, draw 22%, Scunthorpe 14%.
Lower-risk option: Carlisle or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Carlisle to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Carlisle or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carlisle 2–0 Scunthorpe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carlisle64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Scunthorpe14%fair 7.21 · @4.33
3.25Expected goals
2.25Carlisle xG
1.00Scunthorpe xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Carlisle 2.3 – 1.0 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✓
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Carlisle (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Carlisle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Carlisle to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Carlisle – last 6
DWDLWL
28 Aug
@ Wealdstone
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Yeovil Town
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Worthing
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Derby County U21
3–0
W
28 Jul
vs Salford City
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Scunthorpe – last 6
WLWLDD
28 Aug
vs Solihull Moors
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Eastleigh
2–3
L
18 Aug
vs Stoke City U21
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Southend
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Yeovil Town
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Chesterfield
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Scunthorpe.
What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
Our pick is Carlisle or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Scunthorpe 14%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 2–0 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Scunthorpe?
Carlisle vs Scunthorpe (National League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
