Value bet: Kidderminster Harriers to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKidderminster Harriers to win ✓46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24
Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 11 September: Kidderminster Harriers v Hartlepool in the National League, played at Aggborough Stadium. In the table, Kidderminster Harriers are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Hartlepool are 21st (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Kidderminster Harriers, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Wealdstone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Hartlepool, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Everton U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kidderminster Harriers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Hartlepool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kidderminster Harriers 1.2 xG, Hartlepool 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kidderminster Harriers 46%, draw 23%, Hartlepool 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Kidderminster Harriers to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 Hartlepool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kidderminster Harriers46%fair 2.16 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Hartlepool31%fair 3.27 · @2.90
2.17Expected goals
1.24Kidderminster Harriers xG
0.93Hartlepool xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kidderminster Harriers 1.2 – 0.9 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kidderminster Harriers to win✓
46%
2.16
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.67
Draw no bet
Kidderminster Harriers (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Hartlepool +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Kidderminster Harriers to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kidderminster Harriers / FT Kidderminster Harriers✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.24
–
Recent results
Kidderminster Harriers – last 6
WDWDWL
5 Sep
@ Wealdstone
4–1
W
31 Aug
vs Barrow
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Southend
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Eastleigh
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ AFC Hornchurch
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hartlepool – last 6
LWLLLW
8 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Woking
1–0
W
1 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Eastleigh
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Aldershot Town
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kidderminster Harriers and Hartlepool.
What is the prediction for Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers Kidderminster Harriers have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hartlepool 31%.
How many goals will there be in Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
Our predicted score is Kidderminster Harriers 1–1 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool?
Kidderminster Harriers vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Aggborough Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
